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Showing posts from 2014

Gartner's 2015 Strategic Technology Predictions: Trivial, Over Estimated and Interesting

In a previous post titled:  Technology Predictions for 2015: Trivial, Over Estimated and Interesting , I analyzed  IDC's 2015 Technological Predictions. This post is dedicated to Gartner's top ten Strategic Technology Trends for 2015 . In addition of reading Gartner's prediction hyperlinked above, I read TechRepublic's article: Gartner's top 10 technology trends for 2015: All about the cloud . Methodological notes 1. Classifying of a prediction as Trivial does not imply that it is no t valid and does not imply that it should not be included in analysts' prediction. 2. A prediction could be classified as Over Estimated in different circumstances: a. The Technology is not so important as the analyst classified it.  It may vanish in Long Term or its use will be less prevalent than the analyst predict it will or its use will provide less Value than predicted so it will not be so important.   b. It is so immature that it will take longer time than speculate...

Digital Human Beings: Vision or Risk?

Artificial cardiac pacemaker Source: Wikipedia Wearable Computing is a new Buz and/or new Technology . The vision of human beings with permanent Computing device is beyond wearing it. The vision is of a an electronic chip implanted in our body i.e. Computing device inside every one or a Digital Human Being. Each Digital Human Being will have an IP address. An Internet of Human Beings beyond The Internet of Things . The device can record and transmit body measurements and control and regulate them. Unlike Wearables, e.g. Apple Watch, which you can get rid of, you are not able to get rid of a chip easily: you will probably need a medical operation in order to take it out from your body. Actually a limited version of that vision is already a reality. For example, the Artificial cardiac pacemaker , which maintains an adequate heart rate. Wearable cardiac pacemakers are available since 1958. Modern cardiac pacemakers are implantable and are externally programmable.  S...

Wearable Computing: New Buzz or new Technology?

Holter monitor Inventor: Norman Holter Source: Wikipedia About 15 years ago I fainted. It was the only time in my life that I fainted.  The reasons were probably, blood donation a day before, Work from 7:00 until 19:00 and participation in the the thirty-third day of the Omer period ceremonies of my children (I stood for a long time beside the traditional fire).  No problem found during The Medical Check up, I performed.  The Medical Check up included wearing an  Holter Monitor recording my heart activity for 24 hours. The Holter was a Wearable computing device, however nobody used the word Wearable. If we exclude the enhanced computing power of current Wearables in comparison to the old Holter monitor, we can find two factor differentiating current Wearables from the Holter Monitor. Size The size of current Wearables is smaller than old wearables.   This differentiating factor is not important. Connectivity This is a significant diffe...

Technology Predictions for 2015: Trivial, Over Estimated and Interesting

Picture source: Wikipedia It is an annual ritual: predictions for next year. After a year, two years or 5 years you discover that some of the predictions were right, some were wrong and nobody is sure if other predictions were right or wrong. 2015 is not an exception.  Recently I read two article  about IDC's predictions. The two articles describe the same predictions. The articles phrase differently the same predictions.  I will refer to the first article titled: I DC's top ten predictions for 2015 .   However, the first article omitted an interesting point about Internet of Things Vendors. I will refer to what was written in the second article titled: IDC: top 10 technology predictions for 2015 .  No one, including me, could be sure to which category (right, wrong, unknown) a prediction will fail. I divide IDC's predictions to three groups: 1. trivial I am not going to discuss trivial predictions such as "Wireless data growth", "Pablets wil...

IBPMS: Updated Vendors Positioning

Few days ago I published a post titled: BPM - Agility is a Must . In that post I explained why Agility is important in BPM Programs and Projects. I quoted two analysts firms: Aberdeen Group (ten years ago) and Forrester Research (2013). I did not quote the largest analysts firm: Gartner. I did not quote Gartner, not because their analysts' opinion is different. The reason was no quickly available source to quote. Today I read Gartner's Magic Quadrant for Intelligent Business Process Management Suites dated 17 March 2014. This Research Note was written by: Teresa Jones, Roy Schulte and Michelle Cantara.  Now I have an handy quote supporting my opinion: "IBPMS addresses the increasing need for Business managers to react quickly to event that impact their business and to gain better insights into business operations so that they can take the right corrective actions.  Business change is inevitable, and leading organizations will require the ability ...

BPM: Agility is a Must

Agile Methodologies are used frequently in modern systems development. Readers of this blog, as well as many people who do not read it, know that the rate of Business changes was accelerated and Information Technology systems should be flexible in order to adapt  quickly  to the Business changes. Agile Methodologies focus on high priority requirements. If you would use classic Waterfall methodologies, probably the requirements will change before you complete the Analysis. According to an old Aberdeen Group's survey, published a decade ago, the time for implementing BPM is more important than the implementation's costs. The results of the Aberdeen Group's survey implies that  Agility was required in implementing BPM. Those days, it is required more than it was required ten years ago. Forrester's analysts  Clay Richardson and John R. Rymer wrote in 2013: "The Mantra for BPM has always been "start small, think big, move fast!" However, most teams ...

Consultants Typology: The Consultant who Knows Everything

The post: Two Types of Consultants: Niche vs. All Around , was the first post about Consultants typology. The post differentiated between Niche Consultant, whose knowledge and experience is focused in a Niche and All Around Consultants, who know and understand a variety of Niches and topics. If you read the Customers Typology posts, you probably read: Customers Typology: The Customer who Knows Everything .  The behavioral patterns of the Consultant who Knows Everything resemble the behavioral patterns of the Customer Who Knows Everything.  The only difference is that the Customer is capable of making decisions. The Consultant is only advising.  Is there a Consultants who knows everything? No, but I had worked with All Around Consultants who know and understand a lot about large number of topics. Some of them have the Capability of learning quickly and understanding deeply new topics. Of course, the number of theses extraordinary consultants is limited. However...

Customers Typology: The Captive who Knows Everything

One of the posts in the Customers Typology series was titled: Customers Typology: The Captive . I described The Captive as: "The Captive Customer's opinion is that someone else is the Oracle . He will do whatever the Oracle will say". Frequently the Oracle is a Software and/or Hardware vendor. Another post was titled: Customers Typology: The Customer who Knows Everything . I described customer of that type as: "This Customer type is sure that he knows more than anyone else. He is also sure that his understanding is better than any body's understanding". Would you imagine that there is another customer type combining both types?  You probably hardly believe that this type is not a fiction story. If he is a Captive, he will do exactly what his Captor will recommend.    If he Knows Everything, he will follow only his opinion. The best way to describe this type is by example. The example is of a long time ago Case Study . IT Consulting Assignment ...

Two types of Consultants: Niche vs. All Around

Leonardo da Vinci (probably self-portrait). source: Hebrew Wikipedia It is time to classify Consultants after so many posts about Clients Typology (e.g. Clients Typology: The Stealth , The Captive , The Paralyzed Analyzer ).  I do not know if the terms I am using: Niche Consultant and All Around Consultant are the best terms to use.  If you think that other terms are more accurate, please comment. Anyway, I am trying to distinguish between two types of Professionals, Consultants, Scientists or Experts . Most of them could be labeled as Niche experts: They know almost everything about a relatively narrow subject matter. Leonardo da Vinchi  (1452-1519), whose portrait appears right after the heading of this post, could not be depicted as a Niche expert. he is a classic example of The All Around type. I will quote the English Wikipedia: " ... Da Vinchi was an Italian Renaissance polymath: painter, sculptor, architect, musician, mathematician, engineer, invento...