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Vendors Survival: Will IBM Survive until 2027?

The entrance to IBM's Headquarter in Armonk Source: Hebrew Wikipedia IBM's earnings declined every quarter in the last 20 quarters. This trend is surely a warning sign which raise the question: Will IBM survive until 2027? Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway was one of IBM's larger shareholders. Buffet sold the shares after losing in his IBM investment. He said he hopes that he will not lose in his Apple 's shares investment.   The early days According to Wikipedia, "The company was originated in 1911 as the Computing-Tabulating-Recording Company and was renamed "International Business machine" in 1924".  The first Mainframes On April 7, 1964 IBM announced its first computer system family: the IBM System/360.  IBM System/360 was t he first IBM Mainframe. Thomas Watson Jr.  was the company's president.  He was warned that he will not be able to compete with the market leader NCR. Few years latter IBM replaced NCR as the market...

Managers Typology: The Captive

Picture Source: Wikipedia In previous posts I classified Customers, e.g.  Customers Typology: The Social .   In other posts I classified Consultants  e.g. Consultants Typology: The Consultant who Knows Everything . In this post series I will try to classify Managers. Why should I post about Captive Manager if I already wrote about   The Captive Customer  and about  The Captive Customer who Knows Everything ? There are similarities between a Captive Customer and a Captive Manager, but they are not identical.  The following real Case Study would clarify the differences.   Tale of two Managers Two Senior IT Managers were working for a large customer of mine. The first Manager was a Microsoft 's Captive Customer. Whenever he had to chose a Microsoft's  product vs. another vendor's product he automatically selected Microsoft's product.  If you read my post  The Captive Customer , you understand why this selection met...

Security threats: The real Authorization level of the CEO's Secretary

Few years ago I watched a bank's branch working process. Senior Bankers received a digital card which should be passed prior to executing operations requiring higher level of Authorization.  Other bankers has lower Authorization level. They did not receive these cards. They are prohibited from executing high level authorized operations. The Computerized Branch systems were built according to the defined Authorization levels. However, Senior Bankers were busy. When another banker asked a senior banker to perform an operation very often he gave him his digital card instead of executing the operation and asked him to execute the operation behalf of the Senior and Busy Banker. The real Authorization system was different from the formal analyzed, designed and developed systems. The real system authorized every banker to execute most operations. The formal system limited Authorization of non-Senior Bankers. This kind of dissonance between implemented systems and ...

Do not ask: why Yahoo! is for sale? ask: why Verizon is acquiring Yahoo!?

According to Bloomberg, Verizon Communication Inc. has emerged as the most likely buyer of Yahoo! Inc . The deal will may be announced in few days. Nobody is surprised that Yahoo! is going to be acquired. It is a strong brand with quite good software products. However, for many years its Business results were not good enough. Yhaoo!'s Search Engine was a leading product until Google dominated the market. Since than Yahoo! replaced its top management and its strategy frequently. It tried to acquire Google and Facebook and Microsoft tried to acquire it on 2008. Yahoo!'s most successful investment was buying 35% of Ali Baba 's stocks on 2005. 40% of its Ali Baba stocks were sold on 2012. Other Yahoo!'s assets Flickr  - an Image hosting and Video hosting website content services such as Yahoo! Finance Tumblr  - microblogging and social networking website Communication services such as Mail, Messenger, Chat, Maps etc.  Why would a Telco co...

Microsoft's LinkedIn acquisition: more warning signs ahead or a potential for improvement?

LinkedIn headquarters on Sterlin Court in Mount View California source: Wikipedia Microsoft and LinkedIn announced on 13th June that they have entered into a definitive agreement under which Microsoft will acquire Linkedin for 196 USDs per share in an all-cash transaction valued 26.2 billions . On 2011 Microsoft acquired Skype. I had seen Warning Signs ahead . Will the agreed acquisition of LinkedIn stimulate new Warning signs? On 2013 Microsoft  acquired Nokia  in order to compete in the Smartphones market. Microsoft is not a significant player in the  Smart phones market. Will Microsoft fail, as well, in the Social Networks  market? When Steve Ballmer stepped down as the CEO of Microsoft I updated my Vendors Survival post about Microsoft .  Almost a year afterward I revisited my forecast   and I was more optimistic. The reason for my optimism was Satya Nadella's new strategy: Cloud First.  Will L...

Personal Devices Security lessons learned from my mistakes

A broad metal chain made of torus-shaped links Source: Wikipedia 9 years ago I wrote a post titled: The Chain is as Strong as the Weakest Link in the Chain . Based on my experience in a Penetration Test, I argued that human beings are the weakest link.  Many employees Security awareness is insufficient. Few employees are even motivated to breach Security.   As far as the home computing or the consumers computing is concerned, there is even less Security Awareness than in organizations. I am a Security and Risk Management expert, therefore I should be aware of Cyber and Security threats and I should refrain from being damage by these threats.  I am certainly aware of them, however I failed twice by ignoring a potential threat. This post is about lessons learned from my Security protection failures.  I love you - I hate you Many years ago I received an e-mail message from a friend. My friend is an IT expert,...

Public Cloud Core Banking: Vendors Hype or Short term Reality?

Many large banks are IBM Mainframes users. They use mainframes for decades. They use other platforms as well, but their Core Banking systems are deployed on Mainframes. Recently leading Cloud Computing vendors such as Amazon , Microsoft and Google approached large banks in order to start migration of systems to their Public Clouds.  I looked for evidence supporting the notion that Banks are transforming from Mainframes to Public Clouds. I found no evidence. I am not the one to be blamed for not finding any significant evidence, because there is no evidence supporting the notion cited above.  Banks are using Public Clouds but... Like many other organizations, banks are using Public Clouds applications. However, they do not use it for Core Banking systems deployment. They use Public Clouds for applications which are less integrated with the Core Banking systems. If they will not use Public Clouds for Core Systems, IBM Mainframes will be used for many years. Public...